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2024-12-14 00:31:19

Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The United States said that the ceasefire agreement in Gaza was close to being reached, but Hamas didn't respond. On the 12th local time, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, held talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. After the talks, Sullivan told the media that he thought Netanyahu was ready to reach a ceasefire agreement with Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to US media reports on the 12th, sources said that the negotiating position of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) has softened, and it may agree to the temporary presence of Israeli troops in the Gaza after the ceasefire. However, Hamas has not yet responded to this news.


Black Myth: Wukong won the best action game of the year by TGA.Rambler: We have always taken a proactive attitude towards all kinds of co-branded products. rambler said at the shareholders' reception day on December 12 that the company has always taken a proactive attitude towards all kinds of co-branded products, and the future co-branded products will be deeper and closer.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 500 billion.


The Ministry of National Defense responded to the question of whether to engage in exercises: the situation is unpredictable, and the leader of the Taiwan Province region, Lai Qingde, recently "transited" Hawaii and Guam. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, Director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, answered a reporter's question on whether the PLA would conduct exercises. A: It is the sacred duty of the People's Liberation Army to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity, the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation and the common interests of compatriots on both sides of the strait. Soldiers have no constant potential and water is impermanent. Whether and when to hold the exercise is up to us to decide independently according to our own needs and the struggle situation. No matter whether the exercise is held or not, the PLA will not be absent or soft in fighting for "independence" and promoting reunification. Any act of "seeking independence by relying on foreign countries" and "seeking independence by force" will be severely punished and doomed to failure.The total output of automobiles in Shenzhen is expected to exceed 2.8 million vehicles this year. Last year, Shenzhen ranked among the "First City of New Energy Vehicles in China" with an output of 1.733 million vehicles. This year, the total output is expected to exceed 2.8 million vehicles, and it is expected to win the title of "First City of Automobile in China" again. (released by Shenzhen)The net outflow of the main market exceeded 10 billion.

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